HyWays outputs and steps to their achievement

Target setting
The final output of HyWays will be the adoption of an agreed set of overall policy and in-dustrial targets in accordance with the development of a General Mission Statement by the HyWays stakeholders.

This will address:

• Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reduction goals derived from the Kyoto protocol and beyond
• Energy diversification in order to reduce dependency on finite energy sources which are increasingly concentrated in a few politically sensitive world regions
• Anticipated market shares of FC/ICE hydrogen vehicles (off-road as well as on-road), marine applications and equipment and the consequential impact on industrial com-petitiveness and employment

Development of datasets
Well-to-Wheel (WtW) or Source-to-User (StU) datasets for hydrogen pathways will be developed and analysed. These will relate to individual geographical and climatic conditions, and local policy orientation.

Analysis will take place during the two project phases
(from April 2004 – September 2005 the analysis will cover France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands and Norway; and from October 2005 – March 2007 further member states will be included)

Scenario development
For the 2020, 2030 and 2050 time horizons, both transition and long-term hydrogen scenarios will be developed showing (with decreasing detail for future time frames):

the build-up of hydrogen production and supply and infrastructure facilities, taking into account the availability and cost of current as well as expected advanced technologies

the penetration of hydrogen as an energy carrier in the transport and power market, as renewable energy storage, and stationary and portable end-use, considering the availability of both current and advanced hydrogen energy converters (e.g. gas turbines, in-ternal combustion engines, fuel cells)

Emissions analysis
Determination of potential GHG and pollutant emissions reductions under the given scenarios.

Infrastructure build-up analysis
Estimation of capital investment costs and timescales for the hydrogen infrastructure build-up developed through the scenarios.

Economic impacts analysis
Impacts will be assessed on micro-, meso- and macro-economic level. This includes impacts on Gross Domestic Product, EU balance of trade, employment creation/substitution as well as security of supply. By means of a thorough sensitivity analysis, the robustness of results will be determined.

Policy measures analysis
Different policy measures such as carbon trading, differential taxation, and measures for preferential city-centre access for clean vehicles will be analysed for their effects on hy-drogen penetration into different markets.

Analysis of technology impacts
The impacts of technology learning (cost reduction, technology breakthroughs), e.g. price competitive highly durable fuel cells for transport and residential/industrial end-use, on-board and off-board (e.g. fuel station) hydrogen storage, CO2-capture and reliable seques-tration will be assessed.

Development of the European Hydrogen Energy Roadmap
For the timeframes 2020, 2030 and 2050, the aggregated member state specific results for GHG emissions, preferred hydrogen production and infrastructure technologies, the build-up of supply infrastructure and end-use technologies will be integrated into a pro-posal for an EU Hydrogen Energy Roadmap for the participating areas.

The aim is to deliver a validated roadmap using a transparent approach. In phase two of the project, his process shall be broadened to other interested member states and countries, which may participate as observers already in the first phase.